体育用品制造业与区域经济增长研究——基于东部地区10省市面板数据的实证研究
Sporting Goods Manufacturing Industry and Regional Economic Growth——Empirical Research on Panel Data Collected of 10 Provinces in Eastern
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摘要: 以我国东部地区10省市2001-2013年省际面板数据为分析对象,通过构建产业计量经济模型,对东部省市体育用品制造业指标进行面板数据单位根检验、协整分析并利用FMOLS(完全最小二乘估计)度量了东部地区各省市体育用品制造业发展对经济增长的长期弹性.研究结果表明:体育用品制造业工业销售与地区经济增长之间存在长期稳定的协整关系,除河北以外其余9省市的体育用品工业销售对地区经济增长具有显著的正向影响;体育用品制造业从业人数与各地区经济增长的关系并不具有同一性,仅福建、广东、辽宁、天津4省市体育用品从业人数对地区经济增长显示出积极作用;社会资本存量对经济增长具有显著的促进作用,10省市的组间均值在1％的置信水平上都具有显著性.Abstract: Take the Provincial Panel Data collected in 2001-2013 of China's eastern coastal for ten provinces and cities as analysis object,this paper through building industry econometric model to conduct panel data unit root test of eastern provinces' sporting goods manufacturing industry index,cointegration analysis and conducted fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) to estimate the long-run elasticity of impact of sporting goods manufacturing industry development on economic growth.The results show that:sporting goods manufacturing industry sales and regional economic incremental have a long-term and stable cointegration relationship,from the empirical pointof view,except for Hebei Province,Sporting goods manufacturing industry sales have a significant impact on regional economic growth in the remaining 9 provinces and cities.Influence of the number of employees in sporting goods manufacturing industry on regional economic growth is diverse,from the empirical point of view,the number of employees in sporting goods manufacturing industry of Fujian,Guangdong,Liaoning,Tianjin have a significant impact on regional economic growth.The between group means of 10 provinces on confidence level have significance Finally.
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