西南岩溶石山地区人地关系可持续发展状态的演变及调控研究--以贵州为例
On Regulation and Control and Evolution of Sustainable Development of Man-Land Relationship in Karst Rock Mountain of Southwest China---A Case Study of Guizhou Province
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摘要: The sustainable development of man land relationship is an important condition for regional eco‐nomic and social sustainable development .In order to grasp the evolution regular pattern of status of sus‐tainable development of man‐land relationship and future development trend since the reform and opening up in Karst rock mountain of southwest China ,with Guizhou Province as a case ,an investigation has been conducted in this paper to analyze the characteristics of the evolution of man land relationship based on in‐dicator of sustainable development ( ISD ) on ecological footprint method ,and with grey grey system GM (L ,1) model to predict the trend of their development .The results show that ,in the 1978-1983 years , the sustainable development indicator is between 0 .66 -0 .82 ,which belongs to the “moderate” develop‐ment stage;during 1984 -1985 years ,the sustainable development indicator is between 0 .89 -0 .91 , w hich belongs to the“poor”state of development stage ;in the 1986-2012 years ,Guizhou sustainable de‐velopment indicator between 1 .03-3 .95 ,the state of sustainable development of “not sustainable”stage , and in the early and middle stage .Projections indicate that the sustainable development of Guizhou state as“not sustainable” state during the period of 2013-2020 ;from the beginning of 2021 ,the state of sustain‐able development as a“serious not sustainable” state .On this basis ,some countermeasures has been put forward to control the man‐land relationship .Abstract: 人地关系; 生态足迹; 可持续发展指数; GM(l, 1)模型; 可持续发展状态; 演变; 调控; 西南岩溶石山地区; 贵州省
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